Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 12.240799 13.635943 15.141012 16.887906 18.862897 21.030178 23.593526
2025-07-27 10.318540 12.268510 14.529959 17.357484 20.813470 24.919428 30.195681
2025-08-03 8.678429 10.899513 13.638130 17.288413 22.064067 28.151270 36.580231
2025-08-10 7.403289 9.745385 12.790032 17.081649 23.044998 31.141330 43.142344
2025-08-17 6.409870 8.789413 12.029050 16.826939 23.862649 33.976284 49.933982
2025-08-24 5.654628 8.039505 11.422807 16.661309 24.728402 36.949177 57.385834
2025-08-31 5.075119 7.454639 10.958418 16.608299 25.710304 40.188961 65.764736
2025-09-07 4.706117 7.127861 10.821503 17.012516 27.428155 44.800429 77.182720
2025-09-14 4.280645 6.659925 10.402830 16.895288 28.249412 48.013406 86.703859
2025-09-21 3.869455 6.166484 9.881714 16.528969 28.570853 50.369721 95.025707
2025-09-28 3.556817 5.798776 9.521972 16.384063 29.244765 53.429110 105.227139
2025-10-05 3.402519 5.678555 9.562702 16.945299 31.281621 59.343353 122.359185
2025-10-12 3.247399 5.546893 9.578861 17.482431 33.389966 65.821948 142.278558
2025-10-19 3.062859 5.344901 9.447928 17.725223 34.954028 71.459003 161.604745
2025-10-26 2.837145 5.046230 9.108010 17.516153 35.556357 75.143470 177.155105
2025-11-02 2.625865 4.754427 8.751238 17.228607 35.948395 78.424519 192.466986
2025-11-09 2.435056 4.483902 8.408446 16.927787 36.266370 81.585907 208.219039
2025-11-16 2.275207 4.258838 8.133022 16.736341 36.803607 85.360115 226.563908
2025-11-23 2.143163 4.076793 7.926254 16.668966 37.619908 89.963969 248.437252
2025-11-30 2.067127 4.000204 7.928017 17.066535 39.614169 97.941531 282.498678
2025-12-07 1.949908 3.829030 7.714560 16.944171 40.297917 102.566235 307.371776
2025-12-14 1.821611 3.624264 7.410572 16.574030 40.295158 105.307809 326.865480
2025-12-21 1.722450 3.473071 7.209492 16.427183 40.856222 109.746332 353.383005